Video Game Eval Compilation and Analysis

Making city infrastructure predictable with Sindio

Giving dense/densifying cities both eyes and a brain, so that they are able to act preemptively

ILINA Junior Research Fellowship

A junior research fellowship for recent African graduates that combines ILINA’s spring seminar with a mentored research phase on AI and global catastrophic risk

Token taxes as a mechanism for reducing AI-driven power concentration.

A policy memo, co-authored with the Institute for Public Policy Research, resolving the open technical, economic, and legal questions blocking real-world implem

Originality, Quantification, and Decomposition of Generalization.

Perform research to rigorously elucidate and quantify generalization versus memorization, and examine evidence of originality in LLMS.

Philotica Forecast Studio

Probability forecasts with statistical models and an AI Delphi panel

A shared open record of claims by humans and AI

We let people and AI publish claims that others can check, dispute, and build on.

Act I: Exploring emergent behavior from multi-AI, multi-human interaction

Community exploring and predicting potential risks and opportunities arising from a future that involves many independently controlled AI systems

AI-based System for Turtle Hatchling Protection

Using AI, Computer Vision and Rovers to prevent Attacks of the Turtle Nests and Hatchlings

Lightcone Infrastructure

Funding for LessWrong.com, the AI Alignment Forum, Lighthaven and other Lightcone Projects

LLMMatrix: Synthetic World Benchmark for Contamination Free LLM Forcasting

A contamination-free benchmark for measuring whether LLMs can forecast, or whether they're just remembering.

Supplementing Summer Program for Applied Rationality and Cognition 2026 (SPARC)

Fund Sentinel for Q1-2025

A foresight and emergency response team seeking to react fast to calamities

Metaculus' First Animal-Focused Forecasting Tournament

Generating decision-relevant forecasts for the animal advocacy community

Disentangling Political Bias from Epistemic Integrity in AI Systems

An Integrative Framework for Auditing Political Preferences and Truth-Seeking in AI Systems

Future-Proofing Forecasting: Easy Open-Source Solution

Free Forecasting For Everyone, Everywhere

Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions

Forecasting tools by Sage. Fatebook: the fastest way to track your predictions. Quantified Intuitions: Forecasting training tools with rapid feedback loops

Building Tooling to Map how Ideas Spread

The nooscope will deliver public tools to map how ideas spread, starting with psyop detection, within 18 months

Make ALERT happen

ALERT := Active Longtermist Emergency Response Team

AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team

AI Futures Project