Prototyping Planetary Movements

A coordination mechanism for financing ecological regeneration

Field research on How Parallel Societies Coordinate and Self-Govern

Coordination failure is the root of our global problems. We study the communities building new social orders from the ground up

LLMMatrix: Synthetic World Benchmark for Contamination Free LLM Forcasting

A contamination-free benchmark for measuring whether LLMs can forecast, or whether they're just remembering.

Conflict Intelligence Platform Iran v0 pilot

An open-source, analyst-in-the-loop pipeline turning Hebrew/Arabic/Persian/English conflict reporting into calibrated, source-traceable intelligence.

More Computationally Efficent Alternative to LLMs

More Computationally Efficent Alternative to LLMs to Lower Compute Cost/Climate Impact

General Career Support

Disentangling Political Bias from Epistemic Integrity in AI Systems

An Integrative Framework for Auditing Political Preferences and Truth-Seeking in AI Systems

Metaculus' First Animal-Focused Forecasting Tournament

Generating decision-relevant forecasts for the animal advocacy community

AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team

AI Futures Project

Act I: Exploring emergent behavior from multi-AI, multi-human interaction

Community exploring and predicting potential risks and opportunities arising from a future that involves many independently controlled AI systems

Lightcone Infrastructure

Funding for LessWrong.com, the AI Alignment Forum, Lighthaven and other Lightcone Projects

Fund Sentinel for Q1-2025

A foresight and emergency response team seeking to react fast to calamities

Building Tooling to Map how Ideas Spread

The nooscope will deliver public tools to map how ideas spread, starting with psyop detection, within 18 months

Investigating and informing the public about the trajectory of AI

Empathic Transaction Notation: A Formal Framework for LLM Red-Teaming

Formal notation and synthetic dialogue pipeline for predicting escalation targets in empathic Human-LLM interactions

Greek Forecasting Pilot for AI Governance and Democratic Resilience

A 6-month pilot testing probabilistic forecasting for AI, misinformation, institutional trust, and social risk in Greece.

Pre-design for a new category of mind-sport for judgment and strategy

A short pre-design investigation into a competition format for judgment, strategy, and uncertainty.

Job Security Compass

An Interactive Tool for Navigating AI Career Risk

Red Set ProtoCell: An Open-Source Immune System for AI Models

A modular red-teaming and risk-evaluation framework for LLM safety

Department of Future Listening: Narrative Risk Radar (UK pilot)

Detect polarising story-frames early and build better narratives—fast, practical, adoptable.