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Forecasting

2 proposals
13 active projects
$271K
Grants38Impact certificates57

Seeking funding

EpochAI avatar

Epoch AI

Investigating and informing the public about the trajectory of AI

AI governanceForecasting
4
0
$0/$10M
ampdot avatar

ampdot

Act I: Exploring emergent behavior from multi-AI, multi-human interaction

Community exploring and predicting potential risks and opportunities arising from a future that involves many independently controlled AI systems

Technical AI safetyEA Community ChoiceForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
27
98
$67.8K
macalvocruz avatar

Marko Calvo-Cruz

MusicBets - Let's Predict the Grammys!

A Music Prediction Markets App like Manifold & Polymarket but specifically for all things music

Forecasting
1
0
$0/$30K
NunoSempere avatar

Nuño Sempere

Fund Sentinel for Q1-2025

A foresight and emergency response team seeking to react fast to calamities

BiosecurityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
13
18
$27.1K
habryka avatar

Oliver Habryka

Lightcone Infrastructure

Funding for LessWrong.com, the AI Alignment Forum, Lighthaven and other Lightcone Projects

Science & technologyTechnical AI safetyAI governanceEA Community ChoiceEA communityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
35
28
$80.9K
case avatar

Case Sandberg

Play money prediction markets

Community-run, open source prediction market platform

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
8
7
$2.4K
astrosnat avatar

Osnat Katz

Future-Proofing Forecasting: Easy Open-Source Solution

Free Forecasting For Everyone, Everywhere

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
4
15
$2.07K
wasabipesto avatar

wasabipesto

Calibration City

Prediction markets have the potential to reshape the way we process information, but how accurate are they in practice?

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
6
7
$3.76K
lucas avatar

Lucas Kohorst

Adjacent News

Prediction Market Driven News

EA Community ChoiceEA communityForecasting
6
11
$1K
Dglid avatar

David Glidden

Forecasting Meetup Network - Washington, DC pilot (4 meetups)

Local meetups of forecasters, fans of prediction markets, and others interested in improving humanity’s ability to predict the future.

EA Community ChoiceLong-Term Future FundEA communityForecastingEA Infrastructure Fund
2
16
$657
adam avatar

Adam Binksmith

Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions

Forecasting tools by Sage. Fatebook: the fastest way to track your predictions. Quantified Intuitions: Forecasting training tools with rapid feedback loops

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
4
2
$1.02K
NunoSempere avatar

Nuño Sempere

Make ALERT happen

ALERT := Active Longtermist Emergency Response Team

Science & technologyForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
9
8
$18.5K
🌽

Marcel van Diemen

The Base Rate Times

News through prediction markets

Forecasting
13
18
$4.28K
Tolga avatar

Tolga Bilge

Forecasting - AI Governance Policies

AI governanceForecasting
6
3
$9K

Unfunded Projects

sklPolisLabs avatar

Sterlin Lujan

Polis Labs - A Post-Moloch Research Institute

Grant to Get the Institute Moving at Lightspeed

Science & technologyForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
1
0
$0
Charlie avatar

Charlie Molthrop

Charlie's Forecasting Tools

A batch of products and tools built around Manifold Markets and other forecasting ideas.

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
1
5
$0
alfie_lamerton avatar

Alfie Lamerton

Formation Research

Minimising Lock-In Risk

Technical AI safetyAI governanceForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
1
0
$0
jasonjonesresearch avatar

Jason Jeffrey Jones

Automate Social Science and Produce Free, Open, Standardized Data

All funds go toward producing data

Science & technologyEA Community ChoiceForecasting
1
2
$0
jfzon avatar

Johan Fredrikzon

"The End of Man?"

Using a 1960s novel to broaden the discourse on x-risk from ASI

Science & technologyAI governanceForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
0
0
$0
Antony avatar

Antony Kalabukhov

Wisdom Architecture: An Adaptive Layer for Cognitive Augmentation and Safer AI

Developing an innovative wisdom layer for AI that enhances its capabilities for deep analysis, safe AI, and creative solutions to complex systemic problems.

Science & technologyTechnical AI safetyAI governanceForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
0
1
$0