Case's Manifold Contributions Umbrella Project

Doing all the things

Isaac's power-user Manifold search and dashboard

Wasabipesto's Umbrella Project

Six Projects in Search of an Investor - Details inside

Extreme Probabilities Project

Explore a market structure that attempts to produce good probability estimates on highly-confident markets.

Predict on random markets - Manifold tool

"Just hand me markets to make bets on!"

Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis

Lets create a new defining addiction for Seattle!

Mirrorbot

Automatically mirror popular questions from other platforms to Manifold

Trading bot guide

More bots, better predictions!

London Manifold.love dating shows

Two prediction market dating show with live betting

Manifold: Live!

A weekly community livestream/discord call where top traders discuss the week's events on Manifold and live-bet with the audience on markets from new users

Manifold x College Admissions

Attract more high school seniors anxious about their college admissions chances

Isaac's Blog Writing

Allow anyone to quickly understand pred market accuracy with basic one-liner

Digestible alternative to brier scores & calibration charts, helping the public understand how good prediction markets are

Interpretable Forecasting with Transformers

Make accurate, well-calibrated, and honest predictions with large language models.

Telegram bot for Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets Add-on for Google Sheets

An Add-on for easy access to Manifold´s Prediction Markets

Trading assistant bot (Remind Me)

Sends you notifications when markets that you are betting on have a big swing and allows you to set parameters for custom reminders

A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold

Instead of saying "I want to bet $X on this market" you will say "I think the true probability is Y%", and it will tell you how much to bet

Manifold Tournaments

Base Rate Times

Like The Economist meets Metaculus