Our first meetup (December 20th) went wonderfully - we had 17 attendees, got manifold usernames/discords from most of them, and had a genuinely fun time. I believe there were 5 new users.
I got distracted over the holidays, so our second meetup (yesterday) was poorly advertised and got much lower attendance. I'm about to set up a weekly series though to both make up for the missed week, and to help make it more of a 'thing' (as David suggests below).
Stefanie has also been a wonderful help!
@RobertCousineau
$0 in pending offers
Outgoing donations
Investments
Comments
Robert Cousineau
11 months ago
Robert Cousineau
12 months ago
I'm really hopeful for this! College admissions are really stressful, there is an existing market for likelihood of admission, and the group of people who would even think about probabilities of college are noticeably more likely than the general population to like manifold. Further, @cc6 is positioned well to get a first set of users (and it could also separately be quite valuable to/get early users from proofniks, who already sporadically make markets like he is describing).
Robert Cousineau
12 months ago
@DusanDNesic that lesswrong writeup is awesome. I've been wanting to set something like CEEALAR (or even just a co=working space like you have) in the US, but finding something that is near/in a major metro and is cheap enough I can fund it is very tough. Quite happy you are doing so in Belgrade!
That is a nice guest list!
Out of personal curiosity, I'd be interested in a write-up (quarterly?) of what is going on, but it seem like you are ahead of the game there so far :)
Robert Cousineau
12 months ago
Are you able to provide more information about the office space you are looking at, the expected monthly cost, if you have people you know would take you up on it, etc?
Robert Cousineau
12 months ago
We're having our first meetup!
Bet on attendance here. Bet on attendee attributes here.
Thanks to everyone who helped fund it!
Robert Cousineau
about 1 year ago
I have found Isaac's work on the search function to make my time on manifold much more valuable (I've even paypaled him for it prior to this). Discoverability for older markets is so much better with it than without, allowing us to have accurate probabilities for lower interest questions while still taking less new user attention for them. It gives a much more information dense view than the normal Manifold search, which is beautiful. I have faith the further improvements he makes will be wonderful!
Transactions
For | Date | Type | Amount |
---|---|---|---|
Future-Proofing Forecasting: Easy Open-Source Solution | about 1 month ago | project donation | 40 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 8 months ago | inject amm liquidity | +100 |
BAIS (ex-AIS Hub Serbia) Office Space for (Frugal) AI Safety Researchers | 11 months ago | project donation | 25 |
BAIS (ex-AIS Hub Serbia) Office Space for (Frugal) AI Safety Researchers | 11 months ago | project donation | 125 |
London Manifold.love dating shows | 11 months ago | user to user trade | 250 |
Manifund Bank | 11 months ago | deposit | +250 |
Manifund Bank | 12 months ago | deposit | +125 |
Manifold x College Admissions | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 20 |
Manifold x College Admissions | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 5 |
Mirrorbot | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 17 |
Manifund Bank | 12 months ago | deposit | +100 |
Isaac's power-user Manifold search and dashboard | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 400 |
Isaac's power-user Manifold search and dashboard | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 239 |
Manifund Bank | 12 months ago | deposit | +200 |
Robert Cousineau | 12 months ago | cash to charity transfer | 400 |
Manifold merch store | 12 months ago | user to amm trade | 1 |
Isaac's Blog Writing | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 33 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | inject amm liquidity | 100 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | user to user trade | +100 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | user to user trade | +25 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | user to user trade | +100 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | user to user trade | +200 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | user to user trade | +50 |
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis | 12 months ago | user to user trade | +25 |
N.C. Young's Umbrella Project | 12 months ago | user to user trade | 13 |
Invest in the Conflux Manifold Media Empire(??) | about 1 year ago | user to amm trade | 3 |
Manifund Bank | about 1 year ago | deposit | +100 |