RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineau

@RobertCousineau

$104.21total balance
$4.21charity balance
$100cash balance

$0 in pending offers

Projects

Outgoing donations

Investments

Manifold x College Admissionsbought $25 @ $250 valuation
London Manifold.love dating showsbought $250 @ $3K valuation
Invest in the Conflux Manifold Media Empire(??)bought $2.8 @ $278 valuation
Isaac's Blog Writingbought $33 @ $1K valuation
N.C. Young's Umbrella Projectbought $13 @ $250 valuation
Manifold merch storebought $1 @ $677 valuation
Isaac's power-user Manifold search and dashboardbought $639 @ $2.5K valuation
Mirrorbotbought $17 @ $1.67K valuation

Comments

RobertCousineau avatar

Robert Cousineau

11 months ago

Our first meetup (December 20th) went wonderfully - we had 17 attendees, got manifold usernames/discords from most of them, and had a genuinely fun time. I believe there were 5 new users.

I got distracted over the holidays, so our second meetup (yesterday) was poorly advertised and got much lower attendance. I'm about to set up a weekly series though to both make up for the missed week, and to help make it more of a 'thing' (as David suggests below).

Stefanie has also been a wonderful help!

RobertCousineau avatar

Robert Cousineau

12 months ago

I'm really hopeful for this! College admissions are really stressful, there is an existing market for likelihood of admission, and the group of people who would even think about probabilities of college are noticeably more likely than the general population to like manifold. Further, @cc6 is positioned well to get a first set of users (and it could also separately be quite valuable to/get early users from proofniks, who already sporadically make markets like he is describing).

RobertCousineau avatar

Robert Cousineau

12 months ago

@DusanDNesic that lesswrong writeup is awesome. I've been wanting to set something like CEEALAR (or even just a co=working space like you have) in the US, but finding something that is near/in a major metro and is cheap enough I can fund it is very tough. Quite happy you are doing so in Belgrade!

That is a nice guest list!

Out of personal curiosity, I'd be interested in a write-up (quarterly?) of what is going on, but it seem like you are ahead of the game there so far :)

RobertCousineau avatar

Robert Cousineau

12 months ago

Are you able to provide more information about the office space you are looking at, the expected monthly cost, if you have people you know would take you up on it, etc?

RobertCousineau avatar

Robert Cousineau

12 months ago

We're having our first meetup!

Bet on attendance here. Bet on attendee attributes here.

Thanks to everyone who helped fund it!

RobertCousineau avatar

Robert Cousineau

about 1 year ago

I have found Isaac's work on the search function to make my time on manifold much more valuable (I've even paypaled him for it prior to this). Discoverability for older markets is so much better with it than without, allowing us to have accurate probabilities for lower interest questions while still taking less new user attention for them. It gives a much more information dense view than the normal Manifold search, which is beautiful. I have faith the further improvements he makes will be wonderful!

Transactions

ForDateTypeAmount
Future-Proofing Forecasting: Easy Open-Source Solutionabout 1 month agoproject donation40
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis8 months agoinject amm liquidity+100
BAIS (ex-AIS Hub Serbia) Office Space for (Frugal) AI Safety Researchers11 months agoproject donation25
BAIS (ex-AIS Hub Serbia) Office Space for (Frugal) AI Safety Researchers11 months agoproject donation125
London Manifold.love dating shows11 months agouser to user trade250
Manifund Bank11 months agodeposit+250
Manifund Bank12 months agodeposit+125
Manifold x College Admissions12 months agouser to user trade20
Manifold x College Admissions12 months agouser to user trade5
Mirrorbot12 months agouser to user trade17
Manifund Bank12 months agodeposit+100
Isaac's power-user Manifold search and dashboard12 months agouser to user trade400
Isaac's power-user Manifold search and dashboard12 months agouser to user trade239
Manifund Bank12 months agodeposit+200
Robert Cousineau12 months agocash to charity transfer400
Manifold merch store12 months agouser to amm trade1
Isaac's Blog Writing12 months agouser to user trade33
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agoinject amm liquidity100
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agouser to user trade+100
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agouser to user trade+25
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agouser to user trade+100
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agouser to user trade+200
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agouser to user trade+50
Manufacture Manyfold Manifolders in the Maritime Metropolis12 months agouser to user trade+25
N.C. Young's Umbrella Project12 months agouser to user trade13
Invest in the Conflux Manifold Media Empire(??)about 1 year agouser to amm trade3
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agodeposit+100