Cofounder and Head of Foresight at [Sentinel](https://sentinel-team.org/).

Below by notes for a previous regranting program:

I don't yet know what I will do with this money. Some threads that I am considering:

• Grants whose appeal other funding sources can't understand.

• Thiel-style funding: Grants to formidable people outside the EA community for doing things that they are intrinsically motivated to do and which might have a large positive effect on the world.

• Targetted grants in the forecasting sphere, particularly around more experimentation.

• Giving a large chunk of it to Riesgos Catastróficos Globales (https://riesgoscatastroficosglobales.com/) in particular.

• Bets of the form "I am quite skeptical that you would do [some difficult thing], but if you do, happy for you to take my money, and otherwise I will take yours".

• Bounties: like the above, but less adversarial, because you do get the amount if you succeed, but don't lose anything if you don't.

• Non-AI longtermism.

• Grants to the Spanish and German-speaking communities.

I am also considering doing things a bit different from what the current EA ecosystem currently does, just for the information value. For example:

• Giving feedback at depth on applications that people pitch me on

  • The rationale is that this feedback could improve people's later career paths. I think that other funding orgs don't do this because they get overwhelmed with applications. But I'm not overwhelmed at the moment!

• Putting bounties on people referring applications

• Using Manifold prediction markets on the success of grants as a factor for evaluation

  • Requires grantees willing to be more transparent, though

That said, I'm generally seeking to do "the optimal thing", so if I get some opportunity that I think is excellent I'll take it, even if it doesn't fall into the above buckets.

Also, I guess that $50k is not that large an amount, so I'm either going to have to be fairly strategic, or get more money :)

As for myself personally, I'm maybe best known for starting Samotsvety Forecasting (samotsvety.org/)—an excellent forecasting team, for being a prolific EA Forum poster (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere?sortedBy=top)—since emigrated to nunosempere.com/blog, or for having done some work at the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute on topics of estimation and evaluation.