Genzy avatar
Tod Waddington

@Genzy

Memes

-$5total balance
-$5charity balance
$0cash balance

$0 in pending offers

Investments

N.C. Young's Umbrella Projectbought $50 @ $250 valuation
Manifold: Live!bought $25 @ $2.96K valuation
Mirrorbotbought $25 @ $2.37K valuation
Manifold x College Admissionsbought $40 @ $1.09K valuation

Comments

Genzy avatar

Tod Waddington

3 months ago

Fire the CEO markets are Gigabrain. Even if we started with a smaller sample (50?, 10?) it seems like the exact kind of thing that people will discuss, as it can be used to determine the value of a CEO compared to their peers.

It might seem obvious that people will predict Tesla would do worse without Elon, but I'm sure there are some very interesting examples where that isn't the case.

Personally, I'd be saying Google could do better without Sundar Pichai.

Genzy avatar

Tod Waddington

3 months ago

Loan exchange seems like a lot of fun. I could blow up my account much faster if I had access to more loans.

The most exciting one for me is the market stories. Manifold can really lean into the news value and become a regular journalistic source by making it easier for people to see at a glance what was happening as a market was moving. It also gives us the opportunity to go "Manifold was saying this before the news article was released!". Al-Ahli comes to mind. Huge win for Manifold that could be neatly packaged and showcased to outsiders instead of needing a long explanation.

It would also look really nice on my ads if markets showed on the graphs what happened that caused a move - kind of like how stock graphs show splits/dividends/earnings/etc.