December 15th Evaluation Results
Valuations: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
Median Valuation: 0
SG: Is this promotional content for Habr? Doesn't seem impactful.
Rachel: I like that this is aimed at getting new users (and turning them into power users), which is probably what Manifold values the most. However, it’s unfortunate that it’s in Russian (since Manifold is generally in English) and that it will require upkeep from the Manifold team. I also think the valuation is too high.
Inga Wei: cost of corporate blog doesn't seem to be worth the benefit
Sinclair: This one's a bit hard to evaluate, and probably Steven's evaluation would be better. We currently don't have many Russian users, and we don't really understand the russian tech market. I see Intl being valuable eventually, but even then we'd be competing against real money prediction markets. And right now a top-down promotion to Russian users is probably just going to draw skepticism and not accomplish much, with some chance of being very counterproductive.
Austin: I do also think that Manifold’s corporate structure has interesting tidbits in it! I would be amenable to awarding prize funding to this project if one or two articles had already been written.
General note is that we’re also happy to pay for and publish guest articles on our own newsletter; I’ve made this offer to several Manifold users. Note that we expect to have a reasonably high quality bar for what we would publish, though.