$100total balance
$100charity balance
$0cash balance

$0 in pending offers

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Distribute HPMOR copies in Bangalore, Indiabought $100 @ $1.25K valuation
News through prediction marketsbought $100 @ $500 valuation

Comments

marktwse avatar

Andreas Z.

8 months ago

HPMOR certainly had an impact one me and having some colleagues in Bangalore, I think it is a great target. There seems to be a focus on AI safety with this proposal but the book advertises rationalist thinking in general, so I consider the value potential is higher. Even with a low success rate, it should not be hard to achieve the 1.3K valuation.

marktwse avatar

Andreas Z.

8 months ago

I have no clue about YIMBY/NIMBY in California. However, the valuation of 15k seems so cheap for buildings. It only takes a second anecdote like the brother mentioned there, which can be traced directly to this MVP.

marktwse avatar

Andreas Z.

8 months ago

Maybe I’m a sucker for doing such research. The impact of a repeal could easily be billions. Of course, a single paper will not achieve this but it could start something. The protectionist aspects around the Jones Act make it plausible to me that funding through “normal science grants” might not happen, so this could fill an important gap.

Transactions

ForDateTypeAmount
Future-Proofing Forecasting: Easy Open-Source Solutionabout 1 month agoproject donation100
Distribute HPMOR copies in Bangalore, India8 months agouser to user trade100
News through prediction markets8 months agouser to user trade100
Run five international hackathons on AI safety research8 months agoproject donation100
Manifund Bank8 months agodeposit+500