This seems like a relatively long shot to specifically have an impact, but the impact would be very large if it does. This issue seems like something with a very high ratio of "potential impact" to "number of people currently thinking about it," so anything that increases the number of people thinking about it seems like it could be very useful.
@dominic
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Dominic de Bettencourt
8 months ago
I like learning about news through prediction markets, even though it seems like progress has stalled a bit on this I think it's still worth funding at a certain level. I could imagine something like this about some events that a lot of people are following being interesting even to people who don't want to deal with betting on things or making predictions themselves. ESPN prominently displays a win probability tracker for most sports, NYT has "The Needle," I think there's definitely a lot of people who want to know the probabilities of things.
Dominic de Bettencourt
8 months ago
The Turing Test is definitely the most publicly well-known test of AI abilities, it has always seemed strange to me that the Loebner Prize stopped being awarded in 2020 right before AI started to reach a level where it could potentially get close to passing. I think something like this should definitely exist, I remember playing with it a bit when it was initially released and it was pretty cool.
Transactions
For | Date | Type | Amount |
---|---|---|---|
News through prediction markets | 8 months ago | user to user trade | 112 |
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and prompts | 8 months ago | user to user trade | 200 |
Manifund Bank | 8 months ago | deposit | +500 |