Hi, Austin! Thanks for the encouraging message! I started translating RPG articles, another nerdy niche. Regarding your questions:
1 - "Can you give a few examples of forecasting content that you'd intend on translating into Portuguese, and an estimate of how many such pieces you would translate using your funding?"
A: Robin Hanson, Zvi, probably a rewording of some LessWrong pieces, definitely Manifold 101. We would, of course, talk to the authors, get their permissions, credit them clearly, all the good practices. We are seeking to build a basic library on forecasting and the fundamentals are the fundamentals in any language. We are very open to suggestions and nothing is set on stone at this point. I will probably create an article translating one or two actual markets, including discussions, evolution of probabilities, outcome.
As for the estimate, I reckon we would be translating at least 35-45,000 words of content. We would also write a few original pieces, try some friendly, non-technical articles, so we would land in the 55-60,000 range at the end. In the end, I imagine we would have about 10-15 technical pieces and another 10-15 lighter ones. Of course, to be really honest, I will probably get excited about the whole thing and disregard the "one day a week" thing and just keep adding content. I just can't do it without funding right now because I wouldn't be able to have a solid day dedicated to it.
2 - "How would you plan on driving traffic or interest to your new website?"
A: We would follow tested ideas here. Gauging level of interest in correlated subjects and focusing on target groups - young, STEM, probably people who have some knowledge of investing in classic markets. With no specific funding for market per se, we would join a few established communities [reddit, facebook, Telegram, Discord, Twitter] and prepare some summaries/interesting posts to get people interested. If we go over the raising goal, we would direct the surplus to an actual marketing campaign, with paid content on iG and Twitter.
It would not be our main concern right now to commercially corner the market because the idea here is not to build a forecast site, but to create the market in the first place! So, having quality material available and an accessible/attractive site would be higher up on the priorities list.