I interacted a bit with Damien in Tetlock's Hybrid Forecasting-Persuasion Tournament, and I can confirm that he seemed more competent and diligent than most superforecasters.
Peter McCluskey
@PeterMcCluskey
accredited investor
$8,485total balance
$0charity balance
$8,485cash balance
$0 in pending offers
Investments
Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risksbought $276 @ $276K valuation
Collaborative Resolution of Political Controversiesbought $1.24K @ $4.75K valuation
Transactions
For | Date | Type | Amount |
---|---|---|---|
Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks | about 1 year ago | user to user trade | +225 |
Collaborative Resolution of Political Controversies | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1239 |
Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 501 |
Manifund Bank | almost 2 years ago | deposit | +5000 |
Manifund Bank | almost 2 years ago | deposit | +5000 |