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Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
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Ross Nordby
[original EA Forum post // by porby]
For the openphil competition, I decided to do a pretty big edit. The new version focuses on timelines alone and includes some improved/updated arguments, plus a big new section that is unfortunately redacted.
A pdf version (updated as of May 29, 2023) can be viewed here:
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon REDACTED.pdf
If this link stops working, please let me know on lesswrong.